We build tools for better intelligence.
Fogbreak Labs builds data infrastructure that surfaces what others miss. We start where trust is hardest to verify and information asymmetry is highest.
- Ingest from any source
- Raw data in.
- Scored, graded, actionable
- Clear signals out.
- Millions of decisions informed
- Trust at scale.
Our First Product - Fogbreak: Real-time intelligence for prediction markets.
Trust scoring, whale tracking, and anomaly detection for Polymarket. Available as a web dashboard, Chrome extension, and API.
- Trust Scores. A–F letter grades for every market, updated in real time. Instantly see which markets are safe and which are manipulated.
- Whale Tracking. Track every trade over $10K. See who is moving markets and when large positions are being established.
- Volume Anomaly Detection. Automated detection of unusual trading patterns that may indicate manipulation or coordinated activity.
- Chrome Extension. Trust scores injected directly on Polymarket. No context switching needed — grades appear right where you trade.
- REST & WebSocket API. Programmatic access to all trust scores and market data. Build your own tools on top of Fogbreak intelligence.
- TimescaleDB-Powered. 5-second resolution time-series data. Full historical depth for backtesting and research.
Our Approach - Three signals powering every trust score.
Each market receives a composite grade derived from three independently scored risk dimensions.
- Concentration (35%). Top-5 wallet dominance analysis. Markets controlled by a small number of wallets receive lower trust scores.
- Liquidity Depth (35%). $10K slippage simulation. Measures how much a large trade would move the market, exposing thin and manipulable order books.
- Bot Activity (30%). Sub-second automated fill detection. Identifies markets where algorithmic traders dominate natural price discovery.
What's Next - Building the future of market intelligence.
Fogbreak is under active development. Here is what we are working on next.
- NLP Resolution Risk Scoring. A Python AI service that analyzes market resolution criteria using natural language processing to flag ambiguous or exploitable contract terms.
- Manipulation Detection. Advanced pattern recognition to identify wash trading, spoofing, and coordinated market manipulation in real time.
- Multi-Platform Expansion. Expanding beyond Polymarket to cover Kalshi and other prediction market platforms with unified risk scoring.
Start making smarter trades today.
Trade with confidence, not hope. Check the trust score of any Polymarket market in seconds.